Causal Inference

DAGs, potential outcomes, DiD, IV, RDD, synthetic control.
TUTORIALS

Causal Inference

DAGs, potential outcomes, DiD, IV, RDD, synthetic control.

Difference-in-differences with strategic agents

causal-inference
difference-in-differences
strategic-interaction
parallel-trends

Applying the difference-in-differences estimator to settings where treatment alters a strategic equilibrium, demonstrating how agents’ endogenous responses can violate the parallel trends assumption and bias causal estimates.

May 8, 2026

Instrumental variables for causal effects in strategic settings

causal-inference
instrumental-variables
endogeneity

Use instrumental variable methods to estimate causal effects when strategic interaction creates endogeneity, implement two-stage least squares (2SLS) in R, and apply the approach to a game-theoretic model of market entry.

May 8, 2026

Instrumental variables in strategic settings

causal-inference
instrumental-variables
endogeneity
strategic-interaction

An application of instrumental variables methods to estimate causal effects in games where strategic actions are endogenous, covering simultaneity bias, instrument validity, two-stage least squares with simulated game data, and weak instruments diagnostics.

May 8, 2026

Regression discontinuity in strategic settings

causal-inference
regression-discontinuity
strategic-manipulation
treatment-effects

Regression discontinuity design applied to games: how a regulatory threshold creates a discontinuity in strategic incentives, with local polynomial estimation of the treatment effect and a McCrary density test to detect strategic manipulation of the running variable.

May 8, 2026

Synthetic Control Methods for Strategic Policy Interventions

causal-inference
synthetic-control
policy-evaluation

Apply the synthetic control method to estimate the causal effect of a competition policy change in a strategic environment, using constrained optimisation to construct counterfactual outcomes from untreated regions.

May 8, 2026
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